Will Sony’s Blu-ray Be The Last DVD Format?
It seems like only yesterday that CDs became the medium of choice for music and data storage. Then DVDs took over the video world with high quality and hours of entertainment.
Today, I downloaded the latest version of Disc Cover and wondered how much longer I’ll use it to create covers for CDs and DVDs.
I intended this missive to be a review of one of my favorite Mac utilities from one of my favorite Mac software developers, BeLight. The latest version of Disc Cover.... (excerpted).
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Gatesbasher said:
I know it’s fashionable among the techno-intelligentsia to claim that the CD and DVD are dying, and maybe they’re right about the CD: apparently the younger generation can tolerate heavily compressed audio that makes me cringe and will pay premium prices for it.
They also say that the sales of DVDs are declining and that’s a sign that they will soon die out. Of course that means HDTV will be stillborn; it takes approximately real time to download a SD program over even the fastest connection, so HD will have to be compressed out of all human recognition. Why bother with it then?
I suppose they could be correct: DVDs and Blu-Ray will be replaced by 320 x 240 heavily-compressed downloads viewed on 2-inch screens, just as CDs have been replaced by 128,000 bps Auditory Sandpaper™. Let me suggest another reason for the decline of DVD sales, though: the availability of cheap DVD recorders. The people who have to have the latest movie the very first second it comes out on DVD will continue to buy them, but a lot of people are waiting for a given movie to come out on Pay-per-view or On Demand, or like me, till they’re on a premium movie channel, and then recording them. Sure, the quality’s not as good as a store-bought DVD (most of the time,) but it’s a lot better than anything you’re going to download over the internet, and blank discs are 20 cents apiece.
I hope the gearheads are wrong about the way things are going, but I’m probably just a dinosaur who’s talking through his hat. All I can say is, I’ve been waiting 20 years for HDTV to really arrive, and something like Blu-Ray to provide content. If it’s stillborn like DVD-Audio and SACD were, I’m going to be very mad.