Google Glass might be dead in the water, but technology advances– sometimes quickly, sometimes in fits and spurts, but it advances and there’s a wave of wearable tech about to land, fresh off the boat, and it’s not just Apple Watch.
Success? Flop? Yes!
Let’s get one thing out of the way. Apple Watch will fail. That is, if you compare Watch sales to the gargantuan sales of iPhone, now the world’s best selling smartphone brand.
No one would look at the Mac as a failure, especially since Apple’s once and proud flagship line owns most of the PC industry’s profits, so expect Watch sales to be more comparable to the Mac; especially after the first year or so as apps mature and usability expands.
So, success? Or, floppy failure? Yes. Depending upon your perspective. Either way, Watch and wearable are here to stay so we’d better learn to adapt.
Here’s why I’m certain Apple Watch will be successful over the long run. Things change and technology improves. 10 years ago children did not carry cell phones with them. 10 years later and every teenager I know has a smartphone.
Something changed to make that happen. Ditto for Apple Watch and mobile technology. The first few versions will seed the market for usage and usability. But in three or four years the technology will be smaller and come with many more applications– usage will expand.
My parents are Baby Boomers and my grandparents remain in good health, but image both of them with an Apple Watch-like device which monitors blood oxygen levels, blood pressure, heart rate, even their temperature, location and stature.
Stature? Sure. If a Watch wearer falls, the accelerometer could easily activate a notification to send help. Alzheimer patients with a Watch-like device could be guided home or allow family members to find them when seemingly lost. Apple Watch is merely one of dozens of new wearable products we’ll see in the next few years.
Rings and earrings with GPS and other sensors. Glasses that don’t creep people out the way Google’s Glass did but with built-in, onscreen technology access for directions, augmented reality, and instant information (I’m thinking Iron Man’s Jeeves).
Forget the idea of an Apple Watch flop. It won’t happen. And Watch is just the first of many wearable technology that will become as commonplace as Apple’s iPhone.