It’s political season in 2016 so we humanoids should be wary of anyone with numbers. The old adage, ‘Lies, damned lies, and statistics‘ applies now more than ever because misinformation superhighway. Despite technology advances, there are just too many numbers in the world today that don’t seem to add up.
Quick, what’s the iPhone’s marketshare? It’s higher in the U.S. but general consensus puts the iPhone at less than 20-percent worldwide, and certainly far less than the number of devices sporting Google’s Android OS. That holds true for iPad, too. In marketshare, Apple is on the ropes, but the numbers still don’t add up.
Where Did They Go?
Last fall Google’s CEO announced that there were 1.4-billion active Android devices in the world. Let’s give them some churn and growth and say there are about 1.5-billion connected Android devices on planet earth.
Now, let’s do some math. If the iPhone and iPad’s martketshare vs. Android is about 20-percent or so, and no one is disputing the figure and, as usual, Apple isn’t saying much (but saying something; more on that below), what’s 20-percent of 1.5-billion connected Android devices?
300-million, right? I used PCalc just to be sure.
That’s the math. You can’t escape it, right? Or, can you?
Guess what? Apple says there are more than 1-billion Apple devices in active use on planet earth. Alright, that’s not an Apples to apples comparison, but still there’s a problem with the math. It doesn’t add up, even factoring in lies, damned lies, and statistics.
Google’s numbers are of Android devices, while Apple’s numbers are, well, all of Apple’s devices. Just for grins, let’s say there are about 80-million Mac users, 12-million Watch users, and 8-million Apple TV users. I’m being generous, but it makes the math easier. Grand total? 100-million non-iPhone and non-Pad Apple devices.
That means active and connected iPhones and iPads– and no one disputes that there are many hundreds of millions of both in use (not just sold)– number around 900-million, or about 200-percent more than marketshare statistics would indicate.
See? Those numbers don’t add up.
It’s not math. One consideration for the strange numbers might be sales marketshare vs. total products in use marketshare. That tells me that Android devices don’t last very long and Apple’s products last much longer, adding to the famed Apple and total-cost-of-ownership argument. Apple’s products last longer and are used longer and in use longer and that accounts for the seeming disparity in the numbers.
That situation is borne out by other numbers. Even with many times more Android devices on the planet than Apple devices, Apple’s App Store makes more than double the revenue and even more profits than Google’s Play Store, according to App Annie which tracks such things.
Any time someone tells you that numbers don’t lie, just remember lies, damned lies, and statistics.