Windows is dying. Office is dying. The personal computer is dying; it’s the post-PC era of mobile technology, right? Uh huh. Technological changes can be dead dog slow or faster than a speeding bullet. Think disk drives vs. SSDs. Or, think iPhone vs. Nokia. Technology changes but not always when or how we think.
Vinyl records, once dispersed into near oblivion by CDs (compact disks) are making a comeback. What about CDs? They’re dying. DVDs, too. Where can you go to rent a new DVD movie? Why bother? Download what you need.
Therein lies one of the more distinct and obvious changes in modern technology. The internet. Amazon prospers while Sears and K-Mart decay into oblivion. Regarding CDs and DVDs, I don’t have a Mac that can play either one. I had to buy an external SuperDrive to get some movies and CDs transferred to my Mac.
Following in the footsteps of Blockbuster, Sears, Nokia and BlackBerry, and many others, CDs and DVDs are dying.
Let me call this one a few years before it happens. Hard disk drives. SSDs are more expensive, but more than 80-percent of all Macs use SSDs instead of hard disk drives. iPhone and iPad and Watch? SSDs. What’s next? Buttons. Goodbye smartphone buttons and ports. Wireless chargers are here. Cables are the DVD of the future.
Slow downloads. 4G LTE at its best will not rival what is coming in 5G. Assuming it will make it before I retired. There are hurdles to overcome and rivers to cross but 5G could and should eventually hit gigabit speeds and when it does our brains will merely rot on YouTube videos faster than today.
Fragmentation. Humanity can handle temperatures that are only so cold or so hot, and we can go only so long without water or food, but we struggle already with the information overload and fragmentation thanks to the
information misinformation superhighway and short of a massive worldwide education system that gets humanity back on a good track, I fear the roads toward a good life are more rabbit holes and ant farms than beneficial directions for the species.
Veering away from technology a bit, but staying where technology seems to grow, China. Chinese. People, technology manufacturing, and the language. You saw the first glimpse of how Chinese– the language– could become integrated with English in Joss Whedon’s Firefly. Russia is a mere distraction. 1.5-billion people are having an enormous impact on planet earth. Let’s hope their influence is good.
Apple survived the first reign of Steve Jobs, prospered during the second coming of Steve Jobs, and made massive fortunes on the Apple legacy Jobs built. I fear for Apple because Jobs disrupted industry after industry from his beginning at Apple until his death in 2011. His replacement, Tim Cook, could be known for his reign over Apple’s era of iPhone accessories.
What did I miss?